This is a complete guide that reveals how to bet on football and other sports without losing.
Wagering on football and winning, in the long run, is only possible by combining several strategies based on math and tools.
Below are the top three services I used successfully for football strategies.
Table of Contents
How to never lose a football bet? – bet without losing
To never lose a football bet you need to follow the matched or arbitrage betting strategies.
Both of these systems allow you to place stakes on each outcome of a sports market with a guaranteed profit.
I have also mentioned some techniques that can guarantee you a profit each time you place a bet with the help of simple mathematical formulas.
1. Exploit bonuses with matched betting
Matched betting is the safest and easiest to learn strategy to never lose a football bet.
Covering both outcomes of an event is the safest way of wagering and a proven football betting system to beat the bookies.
Why matched betting is the perfect beginner-friendly no-lose strategy?
Matched betting can allow you to never lose money because of the simple fact that each outcome on the market is covered.
To generate profits every time you need to find odds pairs that offer an almost 0% loss if you cover both outcomes.
By covering both outcomes you will always have one outcome as a winner.
Matched betting is a no-risk strategy because you can exclude losing money on bets while completing the roll-over requirements on bonus offers.
The main idea behind this zero-risk betting strategy is:
If you are placing a bet on the bookmaker with the bonus and you cover the other outcome, no matter who wins you will complete the requirements to withdraw the bonus.
While placing matched bets you are wagering without losing money. If you place enough bets you will be allowed to withdraw the bonus offer and your initial deposit.
This technique is also called bonus hunting and it is the simplest way to win in football wagering.
Finding these odds pairs between bookies can be achieved with the help of sure bet finders or oddsmatcher tools.
If you click on the following links, you can read my reviews about two affordable tools that can help you in finding these odds pairs.
I used matched betting as my main strategy for more than two years.
It will help you find out how to bet without losing while taking advantage of bookie bonuses.
For whom do I recommend matched betting?
It is recommended for bettors with small starting capital and for someone with access to many bookies with great bonus offers.
Bettors who don’t want to risk their money while wagering will also benefit the most from this technique.
Are you ready to level up your chances to start winning from sports betting? I released my 2 main strategies on affordable prices, so anyone can take advantage of them. Check them out here.
2. Take guaranteed profits with Arbitrage betting
Arbitrage betting is the second-best technique that you can use to bet without losing.
Arbitrage betting is a zero-risk strategy that does not require bookie bonuses to be profitable.
I have been arbing for many years before switching to other more risky techniques like placing value bets.
Arbitrage betting can lower the risk and increase the profits because of the simple approach of finding odds discrepancies between sportsbooks.
Bookies make significant mistakes and offer wrong odds on almost every sports event. These mistakes often result in significant odds differences between bookies.
Why arbing is a zero-risk betting strategy?
Finding one bookie with odds of 2.05 for an over 3.5 goals market and another bookie with the same odds of 2.05 for under 3.5 goals will guarantee a profit no matter who wins.
These wagering opportunities are called sure bets or arbitrage bets.
To bet on these odds discrepancies without losing money you will only need to have access to sure betting finders which help you find opportunities and calculate the right stakes.
For whom do I recommend arbitrage betting?
Sure betting is recommended for players with access to many sportsbooks and for someone who wants to earn a decent income from sports betting without risking the starting capital.
Read more on how to find sure bets in the following dedicated article.
3. Use the loophole of Courtsiding
Courtsiding is a zero-risk strategy that can guarantee profits and bets won in a matter of seconds.
Courtside betting has some great advantages and greater downsides as well.
This technique is based on finding sportsbooks that are slower than your source of information about in-play sports information.
When a bettor knows the outcome of an event faster than a sportsbook, the profit and winning of the bet are guaranteed.
To bet without losing with courtsiding, you need to have a lightning-fast stream from the event or be present in the sports event.
There are other methods that can guarantee fast information moving from the sports event to the bettor.
Fortunately, many bookies are slow enough so bettors can exploit their mistakes.
4. Focus on tipster platforms with great reputation
Is following tipsters a zero-risk football strategy?
- Each tipster on this platform has a verifiable betting history
- They can’t manipulate their results
- You can see that each of them had ups and downs
- These predictions are focused on long-term profits
- The successful tipsters can spot overpriced markets based on mathematics. This is the main reason they are profitable
Is Tipstrr a trustworthy platform to follow?
They are definitely one of the best platforms if you are looking for football predictions and tipsters with a stable and long betting history.
I have checked/used their platform by opening a tipster account as well to make sure there is no way to manipulate their prediction history.
For whom do I recommend Tipstrr?
- Bettors with a higher risk tolerance who want to follow trustworthy tipsters
- For someone with no time for researching and just wants to place bets based on trustworthy predictions
5. Use a database of statistics
Football statistics can highly increase the profitability of your betting strategy.
However, it’s important to mention that even the right use of a statistics database can’t guarantee winning each bet.
These statistics display highly accurate football predictions in several ways.
But the most common one is offering predictions and outcomes with their real probability shown in percentages.
These stats are displayed for almost every major market for upcoming sports events.
ZCode System has an advanced way of approaching statistical sports betting.
They collect and analyze historical data from each football event.
Their betting software with Artificial Intelligence is able to:
- analyze events
- and make better predictions based on a historical database of tens of thousands of sports events each year.
If you think you have a good strategy for first-half corners, their system is capable of testing it based on historical data and odds.
ZCode System is also offering in-play sports betting signals based on your pre-selected filters.
You can get notified about matches that have many corners, many goals, many dangerous attacks, etc.
Down below, you can see one of the many interfaces of ZcodeSystem.
I was satisfied with both services because:
- they are offering different approaches to football wagering
- but with the same goal: offering valuable data that can help you compete with bookies and increase your profitability by making better decisions.
Do you think it’s promising? Well, this is only 10% of what ZcodeSystem can offer.
6. Use football odds comparison sites
Placing bets on the highest odds possible is the surest way of increasing the long-term profitability of sports betting.
Using an odds comparison site makes zero-risk strategies a possible method for becoming profitable in sports betting.
RebelBetting is probably the easiest-to-understand software that supports the no-lose strategy sure betting.
Bettors who use at least 2-3 bookies should check my article about odds comparison sites.
They are displaying the bookies with the highest odds for each significant market.
Having a winner accumulator bet with odds of 2.20 instead of 2.05 will result in 14.2% more profits.
No-lose betting strategies and software combined mean the possibility of beating the bookies in the long run.
Besides spotting the highest odds on each event, there are other similar ways to boost your chances for long-term profits.
For example, a simple step like using promo codes for bonus offers can help you end up with a higher bonus for the same deposit.
7. Follow a good staking strategy
Even the most basic strategy like flat staking is better than not following a money management system at all.
The role of staking plans is not to avoid losing in wagering but to optimize the difference between winning and losing bets.
Winning every time you bet is not easy but a proper staking strategy can put you in the right direction.
My personal favorite is flat staking based on the size of my actual player account balance.
Using a staking plan even for your zero-risk betting strategy has the role of optimizing your possible winnings and reducing the effects of mistakes and losses.
By strictly following one of these money management strategies, you can avoid increasing your stakes based on emotions when facing a bigger loss.
8. Become experienced in one sport
I followed tennis and basketball matches for years and started wagering on them by arbitrage betting.
By watching the streams, I figured out some new ways and opportunities.
If you have enough experience and knowledge you will see wrong odds and overpriced markets before other bookmakers could.
This way you can find loopholes for almost guaranteed money.
Winning in soccer betting every day is only possible when you cover each outcome.
But if you can become an expert in one sport or even the market, beating the bookies can become fairly easy.
Watching live streams while actively arbitrage or matched betting is the easiest and least time-consuming way of spotting new opportunities.
These loopholes won’t mean a betting opportunity without losing. But in many cases, they offer you a decent advantage against bookie odds.
9. Stop betting after a big loss
If you choose to take some risks and way higher profits (with value betting) sometimes you can face longer losing streaks.
Even for me (with 8+ years of experience) it is inevitable to lose 10 – 12 bets in a row.
In these moments, taking a short (even one or two days) break is a good solution.
It can mean the difference between losing your whole balance or waiting for a little and recovering the losses with a clear mind.
Bettors who want to win every day no matter what will win less than others who are patient.
Sports betting requires you to make rational and smart decisions.
The fewer emotions you have when betting the more you can win.
10. Forget placing parlay bets
After placing bets on bad odds, they are the biggest reason why most players are losing in the long run.
Accumulator bets were created to decrease your chance of becoming profitable in the long run.
Based on mathematics, you will lose all of your money if you place enough bets.
The only real and guaranteed way to win from football betting every time without losing your parlay bets is hedging your accumulator bets.
The best parlay strategy is arbitrage or value betting with accumulators.
I have a dedicated article on how to practice this.
11. Treat variance in betting well
Even a good strategy can be hit by a long losing streak.
No matter how good your selections are, most betting strategies can’t guarantee you to win every time.
Sometimes you can have really bad luck even with placing proven value bets. A losing streak of 10-14 bets can be even “normal”.
In my experience, the best way to reduce the risk of big variances is to choose the right staking strategy.
I already mentioned the importance of a staking plan.
There are some strategies that do not require a strict plan, such as sure betting.
You can read more about this in the following article about mathematical betting strategies.
12. Stop taking football bets on low odds
Most bookmakers are working with a profit margin of 3%-8%.
If the bettors are placing balanced stakes on every outcome, the bookie will get 3%-8% of total bets as a profit.
If you are betting on normal odds that are not wrong or overpriced, in the long run, you will lose money.
This happens because you are placing bets on odds that are lower than their true probability of winning to be won.
13. Stop chasing losses
After running into a losing streak, most bettors can make bad decisions.
Most of us will think about trying to recover the losses by increasing the stakes or by placing bets without any value.
This betting behavior is very dangerous because it can lead to even bigger losses.
If we are increasing the stakes, even a value bet will increase the risks of losing a bigger portion of your balance.
Following a zero-risk American football betting system is not a guarantee for not making mistakes and losing even bigger amounts.
Relevant article: check the list of the most reliable betting apps that do not require ID verification.
14. Use the cash-out option with caution
While the cash-out option at betting sites might seem an excellent solution to reduce your losses it has many downsides.
Bookies offer this tool to offer a better user experience but it also significantly decreases your long-term profits.
Even if your football bet is about to be lost, there are still hopes to win it.
I am Samuel Kovacs the founder and CEO of Sports-Arbitrage.com (formerly known as SportsSmartBetting.com) and I have been a professional sports bettor since 2013. After my Master’s degree in Business Management I worked as a data analyst which helped me gaining more experience and success with the following strategies: matched-, arbitrage-, and value betting. Each software and strategy I present and write about was tested or used by me for an extended period.
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